Nationally, price growth is flattening, not collapsing. Zillow’s March forecast projects home values to rise just 0.7% by year-end 2026, with existing-home sales up 4.4% this year to about 4.24 million. CoreLogic’s March home price update also showed U.S. home price growth slowed to 0.7% year over year in January 2026, down from 3.5% at the start of 2025.

The national story is “stable to slightly up,” but local pricing power is getting more selective. This is a market for hyper-local comps, not blanket assumptions.